Democratic governments in Pakistan are short-lived unlike their pre-disposition to talk relentlessly about Kashmir. The recent disqualification of Nawaz Sharif by the Supreme Court of Pakistan brought another peculiar albeit crucial concern into light – Is an unstable government in Pakistan a bad thing for India?
At first glance, the question would seem irrational. Isn’t Pakistan our enemy? Wouldn’t the people of India want Pakistan to suffer? Well the nation quite discernibly is a ‘failed state’ but the point of consideration is the sheer tonality of the nation’s demography and the strange bell curves of its governments.
In its decades since independence, Pakistan has never had a democratic government complete its full term. Governance issues in Pakistan, Corruption, radical Islamic terrorism, and its military’s coup d’états have ensured that the nation is always strife torn or labors under its Azad Kashmir delusions.
Currently the new interim Prime Minister of Pakistan, Shahid Khaqan Abbasi is rattling the country’s masses in hopes of continuing PML-N’s run – a clever effort to be honest, since the vast majority still reels from the shock of their nation’s military defeats.
That said a military junta in our neighboring nation wouldn’t be favorable to India’s concerns. Reason – Pakistan does own a stockpile of nuclear weapons. In the absence of a good leadership, the people of Pakistan are bound to perish resulting in a desperate state of affairs in the country. That vacuum of power wouldn’t necessarily remain empty and could either be filled by extremists from the ISIS or the military – both of which will be difficult to deal with for India.
Moreover, a radical leadership in Pakistan would divert the public attention towards Kashmir, human rights violations in India and other disparate facets. The regime could then resort to the usual skirmish-centric posture to retain its public’s confidence or to give credence to its rule internationally. That is bound to be harmful for India’s burgeoning economy and its politics – since the Indian government’s posture towards Pakistan also tends to drive the public’s voting-sentiment.
A disgruntled Pakistani leadership will also to evoke some reaction from Beijing – another motivated party in the subcontinent’s affairs.
All this projection is certainly curious. The nation with which we have fought 4 wars, several proxy wars, faced countless border skirmishes – and we still wish for a seemingly simple resolution.
For the people of India, the situation is twofold – A reasonable albeit foolish government or a part dictatorial part deranged regime. A rational neighbor would in fact be more useful for the Indian subcontinent and help India maintain the region’s dynamics without any foreign ingress. But international diplomacy and relationships aren’t that simple.
But inspite of all this theoretical inclination, there are a few tangents that do not adhere to our opinion. Here’s the kicker – A stronger Pakistan could create difficulties for India internationally. Or even rally China and other associate nations to parley with India over its sovereignty or its economical prospects. The concern is rather difficult and increasingly pivotal for the people of India. But as it stands, right now all the Modi government could supposedly do is strengthen the India’s presence internationally, bolster its economy and military and keep an eye on its slippery neighbor.